Storm Track 3 Forecast: Cold late week, weekend severe storms

23 February 2023

A wild weather day is underway across Kansas.  The front keeps accelerating which ultimately removes the warmth and brings in a chill.  This chill is for a limited time before temps warm this weekend with a chance for strong to severe storms Sunday into Sunday night.

Bitterly cold tonight, especially across Northwest Kansas!

Winds will stay elevated allowing for wind chills overnight through Thursday morning to feel as cold at -15° to as much as -30°. Coldest feels like factor will be to the northwest.  

As for moisture, rain is East.  Now we await a chance for snow that will skim our northwest counties.  Accumulations will be light from a trace to an inch or two.  

Temperatures stay cold Thursday into Friday with highs in the 20s and 30s.  Winds will be lighter.

While Thursday offers up more sunshine, clouds thicken by Friday morning as a small disturbance works through the area

Could see a few sprinkles or a shower East of the Turnpike by Friday evening.  

Then again on Saturday as temps warm, clouds will not budge much.  Another ripple produces rain showers primarily south, but I also see some of this working as far north as the Turnpike Saturday evening. 

Attention then turns to our chance for severe weather Sunday.  We have to wait for moisture levels to increase for this to come to fruition.  We will be on the northern extent of this moisture grab.  Dew points from the upper 50s to the lower 60s will work into Kansas with an increasingly unstable atmosphere.  The air will feel more humid as this moisture marches our way.  As a low pressure system works out of the west, timing will position any strong to severe storms from the afternoon into the evening.  

All forms of severe weather are on the table, including an isolated tornado or two.  By the overnight, the severe threat will drop and we will see widespread rain and thunder before this quickly races East into Monday morning.

We are still many days out from this and a lot will change.  

KSN Storm Track 3 Forecast from Chief Meteorologist Lisa Teachman:     
Wichita:
Tonight: Partly cloudy, windy. 10% chance of rain and snow. Lo: 15 Wind: NW 10-25
Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, breezy. Hi: 35 Wind: NW/N 10-20
Tomorrow Night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lo: 14 Wind: NE 8-18

Wichita Weekly
Fri: Hi: 36 Lo: 24 Mostly cloudy, breezy. 10% chance of rain. 
Sat: Hi: 53 Lo: 45 Mostly cloudy. 10% chance of rain. 
Sun: Hi: 66 Lo: 44 Mostly cloudy, windy. 40% chance of showers and storms.
Mon: Hi: 63 Lo: 35 Partly cloudy, windy. 10% chance of showers and storms.
Tue: Hi: 64 Lo: 37 Partly cloudy, windy.
Wed: Hi: 57 Lo: 32 Partly cloudy, breezy.

–Chief Meteorologist Lisa Teachman

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